‘The Situation is Dire’: Hostilities on Iran Tightens India's Cooking-Gas Stock.

People queue up to buy cooking gas cylinders for domestic use in an Indian city
People line up to buy fuel canisters for domestic use in an urban center.

The repercussions of a war being fought nearly 1,864 miles away are now reaching India's kitchens.

As military actions on Iran impede energy deliveries through the Strait of Hormuz, supplies of cooking gas are shrinking across India, compelling restaurants to cut menus, close earlier and in some cases close completely.

Social media is flooded by video clips showing queues outside fuel suppliers across Indian metros and localities as concerns over fuel supplies spread. Businesses appear the hardest struck: the most severe shortage is in commercial eateries.

"Conditions are critical. Cooking gas simply cannot be found," says a spokesperson of the National Restaurant Association of India.

Most eateries run either on industrial fuel canisters or direct gas lines, and the lack of supply are now being felt across the country. "A lot of restaurants have closed - some in the capital, many in the southern states. People are adopting coal and wood and induction stoves to keep their operations going."

City-Specific Fallout

In a western metro, accounts say up to a fifth of hotels and restaurants are already operating at reduced capacity as commercial LPG supplies dwindle. In the southern cities of Bangalore and Madras, some restaurants say their cylinder inventory have dwindled with little backup. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and no food items - it is extremely difficult. Commerce will take a hit," says a business operator in Bengaluru.

A closed restaurant shutter in an Indian city
A eatery in Chennai which has ceased operations due to a lack of cooking gas.

Restaurant owners are seeking alternatives. "Offering lists are shrinking, some are cutting lunch service and reducing hours," an industry representative says, adding that stoppages are varying as supplies ebb and flow. "Several establishments in Delhi were shut yesterday - some have resumed operations. It's a changing landscape."

Retailers report a spike in sales of electronic cooking appliances, with some saying they are facing stockouts.

Official Position

Yet, the officials insists there is adequate supply.

India has more than 300 million domestic LPG users and officials say stocks are being prioritized to households as tensions from the Middle East conflict ripple through energy markets.

About a majority of India's LPG is sourced from abroad, and about the vast majority of those imports pass through the critical waterway, the strategic bottleneck now significantly disrupted by the conflict.

The oil ministry says that it directed refineries to boost LPG output for domestic use, enhancing domestic production by about a significant margin. Non-domestic supply is being allocated for essential sectors such as medical and academic centers, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".

"Unnecessary hoarding and accumulation has been caused by misinformation. The normal delivery cycle for household cylinders remains about under three days," says a ministry representative.

Growing Panic

Now the concern is spreading beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a long, snaking queue of motorbikes outside a gas outlet. "Concern is genuine," the description reads.

An oil tanker at sea representing imports
India imports up to a vast majority of the oil it consumes, leaving it highly exposed to interruptions in global supplies.

According to analysis from energy specialists, concerns about India's broader energy security may be exaggerated.

India imports 90% of its crude oil. Around half of its oil purchases - about 2.5-2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from regional suppliers.

Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are hindered, the shortfall could be partly made up by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a industry commentator.

Based on vessel tracking and expert analysis, additional Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, narrowing India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.

"A large quantity of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a viable alternative," an analyst noted.

Kitchen Fuel: The Primary Concern

The real vulnerability is cooking gas, commentators observe.

India consumes roughly a million barrels a day, but produces only 40-45% domestically, importing the rest - most of it through Hormuz.

Refineries can tweak operations to extract a bit more LPG, but even a 10-20% boost would only lift domestic supply to about around half of demand, leaving the country largely dependent on imports.

In short: "Crude supply risk can be moderately reduced through alternative sourcing. Processed petroleum stocks remains fairly adequate. Cooking gas supply is the real variable to track in the coming weeks."

What may be worsening the concern on the ground is not just tight supply but patchy deliveries - and the usual problem of stockpiling.

An industry representative alleges exploitative practices.

"Retailers are exploiting the situation - illegally trading canisters and selling them at a premium. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and sold at a premium."

For now, India's energy imports may be cushioned by global trade flows. But in restaurants across the country, the more immediate question is simple: how to get the next cylinder.

Bruce Lynch
Bruce Lynch

A digital strategist with over a decade of experience in tech innovation and data-driven marketing solutions.

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